Kent State
W-L: ( 7-10) PR = 75.8570Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Lindenwood Atlantic Su ( 8-11, 77.1) 12-11 214 H Mercyhurst Northeast ( 3-11, 67.2) 17- 9 218 A Louisville ACC ( 6- 9, 85.9) 5- 9 221 H Butler Big East ( 3-13, 74.1) 10- 6 224 H Xavier Big East ( 2-14, 77.0) 11- 5 306 H Cincinnati Big 12 ( 9- 8, 83.0) 7-13 309 A Oregon Big Ten ( 6-10, 81.8) 1-15 314 A Eastern Michigan MAC (10- 7, 79.5) 6-12 318 H Akron MAC (12- 5, 80.4) 6-10 320 H San Diego State Big 12 ( 3-13, 79.6) 11-10 328 A Youngstown State MAC ( 3-13, 72.3) 8- 4 404 H Robert Morris MAC ( 6-12, 75.4) 5- 8 407 H Florida State ACC ( 4-12, 82.8) 5-14 412 A Detroit Mercy MAC ( 0-12, 66.0) 15- 7 415 A Ohio State Big Ten ( 9- 8, 90.1) 6-17 418 H Central Michigan MAC ( 4-12, 74.4) 9-15 425 A Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (16- 3, 89.5) 5-19
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Lindenwood 12-11 1 -3 + 3.64
214 H Mercyhurst 17- 9 8 10 - -2.05
218 A Louisville 5- 9 -4 -11 +++ 7.45
221 H Butler 10- 6 4 3 0.84
224 H Xavier 11- 5 6 0 ++ 5.75
306 H Cincinnati 7-13 -6 -6 -0.26
309 A Oregon 1-15 -14 -7 --- -6.71
314 A Eastern Michigan 6-12 -6 -5 -0.98
318 H Akron 6-10 -4 -3 -0.83
320 H San Diego State 11-10 1 -2 + 3.38
328 A Youngstown State 8- 4 4 2 1.80
404 H Robert Morris 5- 8 -3 2 -- -4.78
407 H Florida State 5-14 -9 -6 - -3.47
412 A Detroit Mercy 15- 7 8 9 -0.53
415 A Ohio State 6-17 -11 -16 + 3.00
418 H Central Michigan 9-15 -6 3 --- -8.83
425 A Massachusetts 5-19 -14 -15 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 309 A Oregon 1-15 -14 -7 --- -6.71 418 H Central Michigan 9-15 -6 3 --- -8.83 404 H Robert Morris 5- 8 -3 2 -- -4.78 214 H Mercyhurst 17- 9 8 10 - -2.05 407 H Florida State 5-14 -9 -6 - -3.47 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 A Louisville 5- 9 -4 -11 +++ 7.45 224 H Xavier 11- 5 6 0 ++ 5.75 206 A Lindenwood 12-11 1 -3 + 3.64 320 H San Diego State 11-10 1 -2 + 3.38 415 A Ohio State 6-17 -11 -16 + 3.00 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Lindenwood ( 8-11, 77.1) 12-11 -22.77 17.40 1.37 1.02 38.24
3 H Mercyhurst ( 3-11, 67.2) 17- 9 -32.73 7.44 -1.37 1.02 12.37
3 A Louisville ( 6- 9, 85.9) 5- 9 -13.96 26.20 1.37 1.02 -6.42
3 H Butler ( 3-13, 74.1) 10- 6 -25.84 14.33 -1.37 1.02 26.42
3 H Xavier ( 2-14, 77.0) 11- 5 -22.92 17.25 -1.37 1.02 32.36
3 H Cincinnati ( 9- 8, 83.0) 7-13 -16.93 23.23 -1.37 1.02 -9.33
3 A Oregon ( 6-10, 81.8) 1-15 -18.12 22.05 1.37 1.02 -8.53
3 A Eastern Michig (10- 7, 79.5) 6-12 -20.39 19.78 1.37 1.02 -9.69
3 H Akron (12- 5, 80.4) 6-10 -19.51 20.66 -1.37 1.02 -10.64
3 H San Diego Stat ( 3-13, 79.6) 11-10 -20.30 19.87 -1.37 1.02 37.71
3 A Youngstown Sta ( 3-13, 72.3) 8- 4 -27.62 12.55 1.37 1.02 28.37
3 H Robert Morris ( 6-12, 75.4) 5- 8 -24.46 15.71 -1.37 1.02 -13.16
3 H Florida State ( 4-12, 82.8) 5-14 -17.14 23.02 -1.37 1.02 -9.43
3 A Detroit Mercy ( 0-12, 66.0) 15- 7 -33.94 6.23 1.37 1.02 15.48
3 A Ohio State ( 9- 8, 90.1) 6-17 -9.80 30.36 1.37 1.02 -4.30
3 H Central Michig ( 4-12, 74.4) 9-15 -25.50 14.67 -1.37 1.02 -13.69
3 A Massachusetts (16- 3, 89.5) 5-19 -10.43 29.74 1.37 1.02 -4.62
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101.15
|
winning pts = 190.9517 losing points = -89.8011
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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